How to Pick the Maple Leafs vs. Penguins Game with Odds, Spread, Betting Line and Stats – October 12

Published 4:50 pm Friday, October 11, 2024

Whether you’re wanting to place a single bet or have your eyes set on putting together a parlay, Saturday’s game at 7:00 PM ET between the Toronto Maple Leafs and the Pittsburgh Penguins features a variety of betting options. Before the puck drops, take a look at our best bets for this contest.

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Maple Leafs vs. Penguins Picks

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Total Pick

Pick OU: Under 6.5 (model projecting 5.5 goals)

  • Toronto and its opponent posted more than 6.5 goals in 46 of 89 games last season.
  • Pittsburgh played 37 games last season that ended with over 6.5 goals.
  • The teams combined to score 6.7 goals per game, 0.2 more than this one’s over/under.
  • Opponents of these two teams combined to scored 6.2 goals per game, 0.3 fewer than this one’s over/under.
  • The Penguins were 18th in the league in goals scored, compared to the second-ranked Maple Leafs.
  • The Maple Leafs were 21st in the league in goals conceded, and the Penguins were 13th.

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Moneyline Pick

Maple Leafs Moneyline: -189

  • The Maple Leafs were 39-28 when favored on the moneyline last season.
  • Toronto had a 9-7 record (winning 56.2% of its games) when it has played as a moneyline favorite of -189 or shorter.
  • Based on this contest’s moneyline, the Maple Leafs have an implied win probability of 65.4%.

Penguins Moneyline: +157

  • The Penguins were an underdog 34 times last season, and upset their opponent in 14, or 41.2%, of those games.
  • Pittsburgh had a record of 1-4 in games when sportsbooks listed them as +157 or longer on the moneyline last season.
  • The Penguins have a 38.9% chance to win this game (implied from the moneyline).

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Score Prediction

Prediction:
Pittsburgh 4, Toronto 3

Maple Leafs Points Leaders (2023-24)

  • One of Toronto’s top offensive players last season was Auston Matthews, who posted 107 points in 81 games.
  • William Nylander was another of Toronto’s major contributors last season, tallying 98 total points (40 goals and 58 assists).
  • Mitchell Marner generated 85 points for Toronto in 69 games last season, scoring on 16.5% of his shots and recording 26 goals and 59 assists.
  • Across 27 games played, Anthony Stolarz had a goaltending record of 16-7-2 last season. During those games, he allowed 51 goals while recording 633 saves.

Penguins Points Leaders (2023-24)

  • Sidney Crosby had 42 goals (0.5 per game) and 52 assists (0.6 per game) last season, taking 3.4 shots per game and shooting 15.1%. That made him among the leaders for Pittsburgh with 94 total points (1.1 per game).
  • Evgeni Malkin was a top contributor for Pittsburgh, with 67 total points. He scored 27 goals and provided 40 assists in 82 games.
  • Erik Karlsson scored 11 goals and contributed 45 assists for Pittsburgh, giving him a point total of 56.
  • Tristan Jarry had a record of 19-25-5 in 51 games last season, conceding 133 goals (2.9 goals against average) with a .903 save percentage, 36th in the league.

Maple Leafs’ Schedule

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Date Opponent Score Home/Away Moneyline
10/9/2024 Canadiens L 1-0 Away -204
10/10/2024 Devils W 4-2 Away +121
10/12/2024 Penguins Home -189
10/16/2024 Kings Home
10/19/2024 Rangers Home
10/21/2024 Lightning Home

Penguins’ Schedule

Date Opponent Score Home/Away Moneyline
10/9/2024 Rangers L 6-0 Home +123
10/10/2024 Red Wings W 6-3 Away +126
10/12/2024 Maple Leafs Away +157
10/14/2024 Canadiens Away
10/16/2024 Sabres Home
10/18/2024 Hurricanes Home

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Toronto vs. Pittsburgh Game Info

  • Date: Saturday, October 12, 2024
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • How to watch on TV: NHL Network
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
  • Location: Toronto, Ontario
  • Venue: Scotiabank Arena

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