How to Pick the Maple Leafs vs. Penguins Game with Odds, Spread, Betting Line and Stats – October 12
Published 4:50 pm Friday, October 11, 2024
Whether you’re wanting to place a single bet or have your eyes set on putting together a parlay, Saturday’s game at 7:00 PM ET between the Toronto Maple Leafs and the Pittsburgh Penguins features a variety of betting options. Before the puck drops, take a look at our best bets for this contest.
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Maple Leafs vs. Penguins Picks
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Total Pick
Pick OU: Under 6.5 (model projecting 5.5 goals)
- Toronto and its opponent posted more than 6.5 goals in 46 of 89 games last season.
- Pittsburgh played 37 games last season that ended with over 6.5 goals.
- The teams combined to score 6.7 goals per game, 0.2 more than this one’s over/under.
- Opponents of these two teams combined to scored 6.2 goals per game, 0.3 fewer than this one’s over/under.
- The Penguins were 18th in the league in goals scored, compared to the second-ranked Maple Leafs.
- The Maple Leafs were 21st in the league in goals conceded, and the Penguins were 13th.
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Moneyline Pick
Maple Leafs Moneyline: -189
- The Maple Leafs were 39-28 when favored on the moneyline last season.
- Toronto had a 9-7 record (winning 56.2% of its games) when it has played as a moneyline favorite of -189 or shorter.
- Based on this contest’s moneyline, the Maple Leafs have an implied win probability of 65.4%.
Penguins Moneyline: +157
- The Penguins were an underdog 34 times last season, and upset their opponent in 14, or 41.2%, of those games.
- Pittsburgh had a record of 1-4 in games when sportsbooks listed them as +157 or longer on the moneyline last season.
- The Penguins have a 38.9% chance to win this game (implied from the moneyline).
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Score Prediction
Prediction:
Pittsburgh 4, Toronto 3
Maple Leafs Points Leaders (2023-24)
- One of Toronto’s top offensive players last season was Auston Matthews, who posted 107 points in 81 games.
- William Nylander was another of Toronto’s major contributors last season, tallying 98 total points (40 goals and 58 assists).
- Mitchell Marner generated 85 points for Toronto in 69 games last season, scoring on 16.5% of his shots and recording 26 goals and 59 assists.
- Across 27 games played, Anthony Stolarz had a goaltending record of 16-7-2 last season. During those games, he allowed 51 goals while recording 633 saves.
Penguins Points Leaders (2023-24)
- Sidney Crosby had 42 goals (0.5 per game) and 52 assists (0.6 per game) last season, taking 3.4 shots per game and shooting 15.1%. That made him among the leaders for Pittsburgh with 94 total points (1.1 per game).
- Evgeni Malkin was a top contributor for Pittsburgh, with 67 total points. He scored 27 goals and provided 40 assists in 82 games.
- Erik Karlsson scored 11 goals and contributed 45 assists for Pittsburgh, giving him a point total of 56.
- Tristan Jarry had a record of 19-25-5 in 51 games last season, conceding 133 goals (2.9 goals against average) with a .903 save percentage, 36th in the league.
Maple Leafs’ Schedule
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Date | Opponent | Score | Home/Away | Moneyline |
---|---|---|---|---|
10/9/2024 | Canadiens | L 1-0 | Away | -204 |
10/10/2024 | Devils | W 4-2 | Away | +121 |
10/12/2024 | Penguins | – | Home | -189 |
10/16/2024 | Kings | – | Home | – |
10/19/2024 | Rangers | – | Home | – |
10/21/2024 | Lightning | – | Home | – |
Penguins’ Schedule
Date | Opponent | Score | Home/Away | Moneyline |
---|---|---|---|---|
10/9/2024 | Rangers | L 6-0 | Home | +123 |
10/10/2024 | Red Wings | W 6-3 | Away | +126 |
10/12/2024 | Maple Leafs | – | Away | +157 |
10/14/2024 | Canadiens | – | Away | – |
10/16/2024 | Sabres | – | Home | – |
10/18/2024 | Hurricanes | – | Home | – |
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Toronto vs. Pittsburgh Game Info
- Date: Saturday, October 12, 2024
- Time: 7:00 PM ET
- How to watch on TV: NHL Network
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Location: Toronto, Ontario
- Venue: Scotiabank Arena
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