Archived Story

Shotgun wedding on immigration

Published 12:25pm Friday, February 1, 2013

The term “shotgun wedding” refers to a hastily arranged wedding between a pregnant woman and the male who contributed to that condition. Its purpose is to avoid potential embarrassment rather than a desire on the part of the participants.

That phrase is an apt description of the Republican openness to a major overhaul in U.S. immigration laws.

Recall that it was only a brief year ago, during the Republican presidential primaries, when Rick Perry, the very conservative Governor of Texas, was thought of as too liberal on immigration for his expressed idea of solving the problem without “self-deportation” (a Romney invention).

But election sometimes brings change, and losing the growing Hispanic vote by the widest margin in decades has made republicans receptive to revisions in immigration law, though their enthusiasm is muted and their intent questionable.

Certainly the Republican Party of today wants Hispanic votes and needs Hispanics to believe Republicans are committed to Hispanic interests and values, among those a solution to decades of illegal immigration that has resulted in approximately 11 million illegal resident in the U.S.

But, on the other hand, Republicans have used extreme rhetoric on immigration to win primary elections, which draw out the most conservative Republican voters, for years. Until November 2012, the official Republican position was that of their presidential candidate, Mitt Romney, that illegals should just … leave.

Now with immigration reform forced on the party of “Go Home” how do Republicans navigate the tricky transition among their followers from “Go Home” to “Welcome?”

John Boehner give a hint in his recent challenge that he was concerned President Obama might tilt the immigration conversation to “the left,” an ambiguous statement at first blush, but clear upon further examination.

Following the Boehner statement was the Republican lead supporter of immigration, Florida Senator and potential 2016 presidential candidate, Mario Rubio. Rubio voiced his concern that the immigration conversation not be shifted to the least and lowest denominator for appeal to Hispanics.

Both Boehner and Rubio are attempting to position immigration reform to an acceptable construct for the most conservative Republican voters, who may not support any form of immigration change at the end of the day.

Their strategy is to construct two baffles to genuine immigration reform, baffles that allow Republicans to argue they support change and acceptance, but intend outcomes that, in practice, maintain the status quo of Go Home.

Republicans will fight for more border security before any change in immigration policy is enacted. That is, any plan is contingent upon the impossible before reform: so long as illegals can cross the border, reform is not initiated.

And while both border security and expulsions have increased over the last decade, the standard Republicans will adopt is zero border violations. This policy will have the effect, if adopted, of publicly supporting change, but effectively denying change.

The second Republican standard for immigration reform is to construct a path to citizenship that is so expensive and onerous that it remains, in practical terms, impossible to achieve for the broad majority of immigrants.

Again, this strategy allows Republicans to theoretically support immigration reform without changing anything.

Both strategies allow Republicans to go to their supporters and rightfully claim they have remained true to the “Go Home” views held by the Far Right, yet advertise publicly that they voted for reform.

If Republicans stick to this agenda, then once again immigration reform will not happen.

The chances for genuine reform remain slim at best.

 

Jim Crawford is a retired educator and political enthusiast living here in the Tri-State.

 

 

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  • Geronimo

    mick! I never said abortion is just or moral , I just said its legal.If we would rid ourselves of all the un just ane ill moral laws , think how many fewer layers and judges we would need,and the stupid repetative laws that cover the same offense.

    (Report comment)

  • mikehaney

    In 2010, more than 29 million Americans (11.5%) aged 12 or older reported abusing marijuana within the past year’a significant increase over rates reported each year from 2002-2008. According to NIDA’s Monitoring the Future study of 8th, 10th, and 12th graders, a consistent decline in marijuana use began in the mid-1990′s and continued into the early 2000s. But in the past few years this trend has reversed with 5-year trends showing significant increases among 10th and 12th graders for daily, current and past year use. This year, 12.5% of 8th graders, 28.8% of 10th graders, and 36.4% of 12th graders reported past-year marijuana use. Although there were no increases between 2010 and 2011, it appears that marijuana use continues to exceed cigarette use in these students. In 2011, 22.6% of high school seniors used marijuana in the past 30 days compared with 18.7% who smoked cigarettes. This year’s survey captured the use of synthetic marijuana, also known as K2 or “Spice,” among high school seniors for the first time. Almost 1 in 9, or 11.4%, of high school seniors reported using Spice in the past year.

    (Report comment)

  • mikehaney

    Mick– I think marijuana (the use of) should be legalized.
    Your all wet on this one Mick.

    (Report comment)

  • mikehaney

    Crawford–Shotgun wedding on immigration
    ————
    Good headlines but then typically back tracks on a typical liberal article.

    (Report comment)

  • mikehaney

    gimme,gimme,gimme—chew on this awhile
    And even an improving job market isn’t going to help the nearly 30% of students who take out loans and never got a degree. This subset of borrowers will continue to struggle, Becker says, because they’ll be relegated to lower-earning jobs while saddled with the same level of debt as their more upwardly-mobile peers “The non-payment rates for people who don’t finish school is really high,” he says.
    ———————
    Party time!! Rewarding the irresponsible goes on and on.
    Same way with ACA. Just switched who pays for it and at higher cost with federal employee increases.

    (Report comment)

  • mickakers

    Geronimo; I found merit in your comment, “Healthcare can be and should be, for everyone, not just those who can afford it.” Healthcare is a fundamental right. I think marijuana (the use of) should be legalized. There is no difference between the use of marijuana and alcohol. Prohibition (alcohol) failed, as will the prohibition on the use of marijuana. Abortion? (the killing of the unborn), come on Geronimo, do a little more research. There is such a thing as an unjust civil law and therefore should be questioned, per example of Nazism (Hitler) and Atheistic Communism (Stalin). The comment pertaining to marijuana was directed to mikehaney.

    (Report comment)

  • mikehaney

    Myles Wilkinson won a fantasy football contest to attend Super Bowl XLVII, but his dreams of going to the big game went up in smoke because of a 1981 pot bust.
    Two grams when he was 19 and paid 50 dollar fine. As a Canadian he was denied entry into the US.
    ————————–
    Well, how did Obama get into the US?
    How come Obama is letting children haul marijuana via back pack from Mexico?
    Oh. More voters for the dem team. :)

    (Report comment)

  • Geronimo

    mike! Obama supporters.have you out numbered,Unions made the middle class (And storng at one time),Welfare rolls are nearly as loaded with greedy cheats at the top as the bottom (if not costing us more)Illegals? Where are your ansesters from , I have some native American , English and the rest are pretty well mixed. (Some even convicted felons probably)should we investigate and throw out the decendents of all illegal aliens?Black Vote! , thats permited now.Abortion is legal.Open borders , we’re building fences at a more rapid pace than ever.Students. everyone qualified should have a college education.Guns outlawed? ever hear of the 2nd amendment? So far I know of no government force trying to take your guns. You mean you don’t trust your Government? If the military desides to take your gun,how do you expect to stop it.(This is not 1776)and the US armed forces is not England , France or Spain.The USA has some problems , but still the greatest counry on eateh. Have a little trust!!!The Constitution is fine (Read up or it) Don’t expect a good interpertation from Glen , Rush or Sean. Healthcare can be , and should be for everyone , not just those who can afford it.

    (Report comment)

  • mikehaney

    Obama supporters——-
    unions,esp teachers vs school vouchers. (teacher union members can’t handle the competition).
    welfare roles—no explanation needed.
    illegals–need more for the democratic party and welfare roles.(why not Mexico as 51′st state and learn from them how to run a country)
    black vote—locked up
    abortion—–more votes
    open borders—-more votes
    students—-free college
    guns—-outlaw(next step,who knows)
    constitution—out the window
    healthcare—free only for the non-worker(get ready to pay dearly if you have a job)
    ———-
    Back to Crawford’s article, guarantee that Hispanic marriages have just gone thru the roof.

    (Report comment)

  • bigkahuna

    Right on Mick. My ancestors were from England and Germany also.

    (Report comment)

  • mickakers

    Illegal immigration, an interesting phrase. The vast majority of us are illegal immigrates, just ask the American Indian. It depends which foot the shoe is on in determining the use of this phrase. When dealing with immigration it is important to remember, we are becoming involved in the lives of individuals and their extended families and we do have a responsibility for their welfare. My ancestors were from England (Wales) and Germany. I’m happy they were allowed to remain in this country.

    (Report comment)

  • keta

    Solution – impeach Obama
    —————————————————-

    Sigh. The last time republicans were so unhappy with an election result that they tried to overturn it with impeachment, the object of their dissatisfaction was Bill Clinton. Who is today the most popular politician on the planet. And who can move into the White house again in 2016 if he and the Mrs. decide they’d like to. Seriously, republicans – pay attention. Learn from your mistakes. As Bobby Jindal advised, Stop being the stupid party.

    (Report comment)

  • mikehaney

    If the waiver is approved, the applicants can return to their native country to go through a green-card interview process, then return to the U.S. to wait for weeks – not years – for the waiver approval. Once the waiver is approved, they can apply to the State Department for a visa.

    The 10-year punishment is part of law passed by Congress in 1996 to discourage illegal immigration.

    The president made the policy changes ahead of his second-term effort to pass comprehensive illegal-immigration reform.
    ————————————–
    Solution—–impeach Obama

    (Report comment)

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