Biden leads Trump in Ohio 2020 poll: Former vice president only Democrat with advantage in state

Published 8:27 am Wednesday, July 31, 2019

Former Vice President Joe Biden has an eight-point lead against incumbent President Donald Trump in the race for Ohio’s electoral votes in 2020, according to a new poll.

Biden was the only candidate with a clear lead in the survey by Quinnipiac University, with Trump leading or in a tie with other Democrats.

The poll found that Biden leads Trump in Ohio, 50-42 percent.

Email newsletter signup

However the president has a slim leads on three Democratic contenders. Against U.S. Sen. Elizabeth Warren, of Massachusetts, Trump leads, 46-45 percent. Against U.S. Bernie Sanders, an independent from Vermont running as a Democrat, Trump leads, 46-45 percent. And against U.S. Sen. Cory Booker, of New Jersey, Trump leads 44-43 percent.

Trump ties U.S. Sen. Kamala Harris, of California, and South Bend Mayor Pete Buttigieg, with all earning 44 percent in match ups.

The poll questioned 1,431 Ohio voters through both landlines and cellphones from July 17–22. It has a margin of error of 3.2 percentage points.

In a separate survey, Quinnipiac also polled Ohio Democrats on their choice for their party’s 2020 presidential nomination.

That survey found Biden leading the field with 34 percent, followed by Warren at 15 percent, Harris at 12 percent, Sanders at 11 percent and Buttigieg at 6 percent.

All other candidates in the party’s crowded primary field, numbering 25 contenders, had 2 percent or less.

The survey included 579 Democrats and Democratic leaners and has a margin of error of +/- 5.1 percentage points.

After losing the state in the Republican primary to Gov. John Kasich, Trump carried Ohio in the 2016 general election, defeating Hillary Clinton for its 18 electoral votes, 52-44 percent.

The president’s approval in the Buckeye State appears to be slightly better than his national average, with a survey in June by Morning Consult finding him at 46 percent approval, with 50 percent disapproving. His current average of all polls, according to Real Clear Politics is 44 percent approval, with 52 percent disapproving.